Earth News This Week

Saturday, August 18, 2007

60 years: India -- Pakistan

Sixty Years of Freedom -- and Animosity

By Chiade O'Shea Der Spiegel

Both Pakistan and India are celebrating six decades of independence from the British this week. But the reality of today is a far cry from the dreams of 1947.

Back then, all the way back in 1947, she was an incurable rebel, admits Fatima Sughra today. The 14-year-old was full of passion -- for an independent Pakistan and a separate state for the Muslims.

"We wanted to be free from the English and the Indians," the now 74-year-old grandmother recalls. "We'd had enough of living by their rules. Six decades ago, she climbed onto the roof of the British government's building in Lahore in 1947, tore down the British flag and hoisted the Muslim League's colors in its place -- immediately becoming an icon of the movement for independence.

PHOTO GALLERY: INDIA CELEBRATES 60 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE

Click on a picture to launch the image gallery (10 Photos)


But 60 years later, much of her passion is gone. "When I think of what happened to the dream of Pakistan, what we fought for and the sacrifices people made with their lives, I could cry," says Sughra. "People sacrificed their lives for a nation of hoodlums who will just celebrate this anniversary with firecrackers and blaring car horns," she reflects. "Nobody will be thinking how to make a better Pakistan."

In 1947, the young Fatima was herself forced to consider the question when her own street in Lahore's old city became one of the many front lines where Muslims, Sikhs and Hindus turned on each other after years of living together in harmony. The peaceful protests which Sughra joined were followed by clashes which escalated until mobs rampaged from all sides, torturing and killing their new-found enemies.

Lucky to Escape with their Lives

The violence sparked one of the largest migrations in history. Those who found themselves living in the wrong neighborhood or state were lucky to escape with their lives as they fled. Estimates of the deaths across the country range from 200,000 to a million.

"The worst were the trains," remembers Sughra. "They arrived full of bodies, of women and children as well as men, dead and mutilated. My husband, who was a station master, saw a train arrive with decapitated heads of Muslims hanging on the outside. Someone had written 'this is Pakistan' on the side in their blood." Trains of Sikh and Hindu refugees traveling in the opposite direction suffered the same fates.

Children light candles to mark 60 years of independence for Pakistan.
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REUTERS

Children light candles to mark 60 years of independence for Pakistan.

Satpal Mahajan, now 74, remembers the period well. "We held our breaths for the 30 minutes it took to go from the new Pakistan to India," he says. "Nobody said a word, we all just prayed."

Two days before, seven carriages full of refugees making the same trip were attacked. Not a single person survived. "The bodies were everywhere, hundreds of them. Even if I could find a way to describe that scene, I would never want to say those words aloud," he says, shaking his head.

He credits the survival of his entire village of Zafarwal -- 5,000 people who fled together -- with the protection of one young British officer. "The lieutenant swore to protect us with his life," Mahajan says now. "He came on the train and rode with the driver and kept telling him not to stop for anything."

His fellow officers rode on the links between the carriages, ready to give their lives to protect the people of a country which they were due to leave weeks later. "The train before was attacked and everyone died, with this lieutenant and his men beside us, nobody attacked," Mahajan says. "And to think that officer, whose name I didn't dare ask, must have only have been 19 or 20 years old," said the elderly man.

While many neighbors turned on each other, others stood by their friends, touched by their plight.

'Like Goats to Be Herded'

Jaswant Singh, a Sikh farmer, supported independence from the British "who treated us like goats to be herded" but abhorred the idea of the partition cleaving the Indian people and the luscious green Punjabi plains in two. "The Muslims were our friends, we went to their weddings and they came to ours," he explains, sitting on the traditional wooden charpoi bed outside the same house near Amritsar he lived in then.

But he, like many, is haunted by the enduring memories of the bloodshed. He was once stopped by a Sikh gang who were holding some terrified Muslim men. They made him prove he was a Sikh by letting down his uncut long hair from his turban.

"They let me go, but as I ran away, I could hear the screams of those Muslims as they were murdered," he recalls. He sent his wife and baby to stay with relatives and with other Sikh friends escorted small groups of their Muslim neighbors over the border by night.

The resemblance between the two sides of the Punjab, like much of Pakistan and India, is startling. Much of the language, industry, farming and culture is indistinguishable to an outsider. In recent years, trains between Pakistan and India have pulled out once again from the stations which saw so much carnage in 1947. Once so vividly associated with the slaughter of partition, the trains are now a prominent symbol of the peace process.

Buses also link the two sides of the disputed Himalayan territory of Kashmir, temporarily reuniting families divided by a line on the new maps of 1947. A train now takes the same route from New Delhi to Karachi that Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf himself journeyed as a four year-old boy.

Original Dream?

In six decades the new nations of Pakistan and independent India, have struggled to convert their kinship into good neighborly relations. In the next 60 years, the subcontinent will retain the world's attention with India's population set to become the largest on the planet and Pakistan holding the dubious title as the world's only Muslim nuclear nation.

"In coming years, I pray for Pakistan to achieve to the original dream of a free, progressive society," says Sughra.

Mahajan isn't quite so optimistic. "I won't be around to see it," he says, "but I'll keel over from the stress right now if I even stop to think what crazy things could happen around here in another 60 years."

Friday, August 17, 2007

Arctic: new battlefield for energy

Russia plans Arctic national park amid northern surge



Aug 14, 2007

Russia is planning to create an Arctic Sea nature reserve, an official said Tuesday, amid increasingly intense international competition to lay claims over the resource-rich territory.

The ministry of natural resources has approved a proposal for a nature reserve called "The Russian Arctic" including territory around a group of far northern Russian islands in the Arctic Sea, a ministry spokesman said Tuesday.

The reserve would cover the archipelago of Franz Josef Land and Victoria Island, as well as 8.36 million hectares (32,000 square miles) of surrounding sea, daily Vedomosti reported.

Competing claims over Arctic territory by numerous countries, including Canada, Denmark, and the United States, have sharpened since a Russian expedition planted a Russian flag on the North Pole seabed on August 2.

The Arctic Sea bed is thought to contain massive oil and gas reserves.

The ministry spokeswoman denied the nature reserve initiative was in any way connected to Russia's territorial claims, saying: "This project started in 2001 and has nothing to do with the recent expeditions."

The national park would have to be approved by the ministry of defence, which conducts naval manoeuvres in the area and has several outposts on the islands.

Aryabhatta: Keralite astronomer, eclispe observer

Kerala's foremost astronomer: ARYABHATTA

K. Chandra Hari (B6-103, ONGC
Colony (East), Chandkheda, Gandhinagar
382 424, India) e-mail: chandra_hari18@yahoo.c

writes in the latest issue of Current Science about his work supplementing
his earlier work in which he has shown shown that the place of observation of Aryabhata as per Aryabhatiya is Ponnani at 10N51, 75E45 where the coastline of Kerala intercepted
the Hindu prime meridian. An effort has been made here to explore the veracity of the legend
that Aryabhata and his son Devarajan had resorted to observe an eclipse from
the sea and had invited the wrath of the orthodox elements and excommunication.

Daylight saving time in India

Energy savings from advancing the Indian Standard Time by half an hour

Dilip R. Ahuja*, D. P. Sen Gupta* and V. K. Agrawal in the latest issue of Current Science
(http://www.ias.ac.in/currsci/aug102007/298.pdf) has said that could be a 16% saving in electricity consumption if India advanced the Indian Std Time by half an hour, thus being 6 hours ahead of UCT.

Since mechanical clocks were invented, three separate sequential adjustments have been made to timekeeping – the adoption of mean time, of time zones incorporating standard times, finally that of daylight saving time (DST). India has accepted mean times and a standard time, but has resisted adopting time zones or DST for several reasons. We propose advancing of the Indian Standard Time by half an hour to being six hours ahead of the Universal Coordinated Time. The primary benefit estimated from regional seasonal load curves is a saving in peak load electricity of nearly 16%.

This is substantial given the difficulty most regions have in fulfilling the additional evening demand. There would be several other benefits that cannot be quantified easily.

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Santosh's paper tops the most-cited paper list of Elsevier


Superplume, supercontinent, and post-perovskite: Mantle dynamics and anti-plate tectonics on the Core-Mantle Boundary
• Review article

Gondwana Research, Volume 11, Issue 1-2, 1 January 2007, Pages 7-37
Maruyama, S.; Santosh, M.; Zhao, D.

Geologists from Kerala: Contributions Galore (1)

Extreme Crustal Metamorphism during a Neoproterozoic Event in Sri Lanka: A Study of Dry Mafic Granulites

K. Sajeev of Yonsei University, Korea

The Journal of Geology, volume 115 (2007), pages 563–582

Garnet-clinopyroxene-quartz granulites of the central Highland Complex of Sri Lanka preserve textural and compositional features indicative of high-pressure, ultrahigh-temperature (HP-UHT) crustal metamorphism and multistage retrogression.

Grains of the peak metamorphic assemblage, garnet-clinopyroxene-quartz, are commonly separated and embayed by late orthopyroxene-plagioclase symplectites; however, in some domains, rare grain-to-grain associations of the peak assemblages are still preserved.

Thermodynamic modeling in the CaO-Na2O-K2O-FeO-MgO-Al2O3-SiO2 system indicates peak metamorphic conditions of 12.5 kbar at 925°C. The temperature estimates using garnet and clinopyroxene core compositions are in the range 844°ndash982°C, in agreement with the thermodynamic modeling.

In conclusion, the textural, geochemical, and thermodynamic modeling and
thermobarometric data indicate a multistage decompression after HP-UHT
metamorphism. U-Pb zircon (laser ablationndashinductively coupled plasma mass
spectrometry) ages represent the timing of the peak metamorphism at
ca. 580 Ma. A Sm-Nd internal isochron from mineral phases (garnet,
clinopyroxene, orthopyroxene, and felsic fraction) and from a whole rock
yields an age of 534±12 Ma interpreted as the time of isothermal decompression (retrogression).

Our results from the central Highland Complex of Sri Lanka provide important
constraints on the Neoproterozoic orogeny associated with the assembly of Gondwana.

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Plate tectonics: Very Significant Chinese Contributions

Plate tectonics: Journeys to the deep

The convergence of continental tectonic plates may push surface material to depths greater than 200 km into the mantle

Plate tectonicsJourneys to the deep

© (2000) Nature

Researchers at the Chinese Academy of Sciences in Beijing found evidence that material from the earth's crust travels deeper down into the molten rock of the mantle than was previously thought. This process, known as subduction, may occur where two continental plates collide. Subduction, which can destroy crust and build mountains, is important for understanding the long-term growth of continents.

Kai Ye and colleagues1 studied crystallized garnet in very dense rocks called eclogites. The eclogites were from Yangkou in the Sulu belt, China, where the South China plate subducted under the North China plate during the Triassic period (about 230 million years ago). Sodium and silicon oxide concentrations, which have a positive dependence on pressure, were higher than in garnet synthesized in basalt systems at known pressures of around 7 GPa. This suggests that the Yangkou samples originated at even greater pressures, implying subduction depths greater than 200 km.

When continental material is pushed to such depths, its density increases to levels greater than the surrounding mantle. It may not return to the surface under its own buoyancy and could sink even further. Therefore the rocks found at Yangkou must have been exhumed by a raft of more buoyant material pushing from underneath.

Original article citation

Ye, K., Cong, B. & Ye, D. The possible subduction of continental material to depths greater than 200 km. Nature 407, 734–736 (2000).

Full text article available for download free

Business savvy New India

Indian Business on New Trajectory

India finds comparative advantage not in jeans, geography, or geology but in skills and managerial capital.
Sixty years usually signals the onset of dotage in humans. But it is in fact a relatively young age for nations. So, what kind of infant is the Indian economy? A decade or two ago, against the background of unsuccessful performance, this question would probably have elicited the caustic comparison: “Indian industry and the Indian economy are like Peter Pan: they never grow up.” Today, however, the infant seems more precocious than immature. The Indian economy has been doing many things well ahead of what countries usually do at this stage of their development.
No account of Indian precociousness can begin, of course, without mentioning the mother of all precocious feats, namely, sustaining a democracy in the inhospitable terrain of low levels of income and literacy, and a highly fractured society. In the post-war period, only a few other developing countries, (for example, Mauritius, Botswana, and Cost Rica) have sustained uninterrupted democracies, but they have been much smaller than India. The more common chronology has been growth first and democracy (maybe) later as the experience of East Asia has shown.
Moving on to economics, start with the most-cited anomaly of India relying on services rather than manufacturing as the basis for its growth. A slightly different way of characterising this is the following. Historically, no country has escaped from under-development using relatively skill-intensive activities as the launching pad for sustained growth as India has done. The most common mode of escape has been jeans, geology, or geography.
East Asian countries relied on relatively low-skilled manufacturing, typically textiles and clothing. Countries in West Asia today, and Australia and Canada further back in time, exploited their natural resources. And some of the island successes (Barbados and Mauritius) have exploited their geography by developing tourism.
Put differently, India seems to have defied its “natural” comparative advantage, which probably lay in the jeans mode of escape because of its abundant unskilled and low-skilled labour. Instead, it found or created — thanks to historical policy choices and technological accidents — such advantage in relatively skilled activities. That the relevant distinction is skill-based rather than sectoral is reflected in the fact that even within manufacturing, India has an atypically high share of skilled-intensive sectors.
India’s anomalous pattern of development on another score is less well-known. Development involves countries diversifying their economic base and only later — after an income level of about $15,000 per capita — specialising in fewer activities. India has diversified to a greater extent and faster than usual for a country of its income level, and has also started specialising much earlier than the typical country. This early and precocious diversification proved to be an asset because it equipped Indian industry to exploit some of the subsequent opportunities created by the IT and software revolution.
But in some ways, the most astonishing sign of precociousness has related to capital. Development theory’s version of gravitational pull asserts that capital should flow downhill: from rich countries (where the risk-adjusted returns to capital are much lower because of diminished returns to capital) to poorer ones (where these returns are greater). But capital flowing uphill has been one of the anomalies of recent times: many East Asian countries, especially China, and more recently, the oil-rich countries of West Asia, have run current account surpluses, whose mirror image is the export of financial capital. India has only rarely exported financial capital.
But India is the one country that seems to be defying a stronger version of the gravitational law of development, which says that managerial and entrepreneurial capital — foreign direct investment (FDI) — will always flow downhill. Empirical validation for this “law” can be found in a paper that I co-authored with Eswar Prasad and Raghuram Rajan (http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/subramanian0407.pdf): whereas overall capital had occasionally flowed uphill, FDI never did. In the post-war period, the average income of countries that have been net exporters of FDI has been about $45,000 per capita. If only exports of FDI going to the rich countries had been considered, the number would have been higher still.
In 2006-07, India’s net imports of FDI were 9 per cent of GDP. So, India is still not a net exporter (it could have been had some transactions been recorded differently) but the really striking fact is that India’s gross exports of FDI were a whopping 12 per cent of GDP and much of this was destined for the OECD countries. In other words, India has become a large exporter of FDI to rich countries at a per capita GDP of about $900 per capita, when the average country has done so closer to a per capita GDP in excess of $50,000. How precocious is that? As impressive is the range and sophistication of industries that Indian managers and entrepreneurs are moving into: oil, automotives, information technology, pharmaceuticals, steels, and even wind-energy. In contrast, a lot of Chinese FDI is in Africa and is resource-related.
For a country that shunned global capitalism until very recently —IBM and Coca Cola were asked to leave in the late 1970s — and was seen as a paragon of inefficiency, it is a remarkable, ironic turnaround. Indians are engaged in global capitalism not just as workers but as “bosses,” taking over and efficiently managing global capital!
In some ways, all this precociousness should be no surprise at all. The fact is that there are many Indian economies within geographic India and some of them do resemble developed economies: in being endowed with educated and entrepreneurial people, in being well-connected with the outside world, and in having access to capital. They are probably also too well “connected” within India. It would be more anomalous if these Indias had not recorded some of these precocious achievements.
But there are enough other Indias that should temper any triumphalism that the achievements of the precocious Indias might tempt us into. For one, poor India rather than precocious India is still the rule. And the very fact of defying comparative advantage means that India’s abundant resource — its unskilled labour — has been afforded limited opportunities for economic and social advancement.
So, at sixty, let us savour the achievements by all means, but always remembering that precocious infants can be maladapted ones, and also that they do not always grow into successful, happy, or even, normal adults.
Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Center for Global Development, and Senior Research Professor, Johns Hopkins University

George Gheverghese Joseph, Kerala and Manchester

George Gheverghese Joseph was born in Kerala, Southern India, and lived in India until he was nine. His family then moved to Mombasa in Kenya where he received his schooling. He studied at the University of Leicester and then worked for six years as a teacher in Kenya before returning to pursue his postgraduate studies at Manchester.

His teaching and research have ranged over a broad spectrum of subjects in applied mathematics and statistics, including multivariate analysis, mathematical programming and demography. In recent years, however, his research has been mainly on the cultural and historical aspects of mathematics with particular emphasis on the non-European dimensions to the subject and its relevance for mathematics education.

In January 2000, he organised an International Seminar and Colloquium to commemorate the 1500th year of Aryabhata's famous text, Aryabhateeyam, which was held in Thiruvanthapuram, Kerala, India.

His publications include four books: Women at Work ( Philip Allan, Oxford, 1983), The Crest of the Peacock: Non-European Roots of Mathematics ( 1st Hardback Edition, Tauris, 1991; 1st Paperback Edition, Penguin 1992, 2nd Edition, jointly by Penguin Books and Princeton University Press, 2000), Multicultural Mathematics: Teaching Mathematics from a Global Perspective (Oxford University Press, 1993) and George Joseph: Life and Times of a Kerala Christian Nationalist (Orient Longman, 2003). The last named book is a political biography of his grandfather, George Joseph, a close associate of Mahatma Gandhi, Jawarhalal Nehru and other leaders of modern India. A Malayalam translation of the book is imminent. He is also the author of about 70 articles and chapters in books.

He is at present working on two projects: a history of Indian mathematics and a joint project with Dennis Almeida of the University of Exeter, funded by the Arts and Humanities Research Board, on 'Medieval Kerala Mathematics: The Possibility of its Transmission to Europe'.

At present he holds joint honorary appointments at Universities of Exeter and Manchester, United Kingdom and at University of Toronto, Canada.

Infinite series and 10th century Kerala mathematicians

Kerala mathematicians Predated Newton by 250 Years,


Dr. George Gheverghese Joseph. (Credit: Image courtesy of University of Manchester)


A little known school of scholars in southwest India discovered one of the founding principles of modern mathematics hundreds of years before Newton -- according to new research.

Dr George Gheverghese Joseph from The University of Manchester says the 'Kerala School' identified the 'infinite series '- one of the basic components of calculus - in about 1350.

The discovery is currently - and wrongly - attributed in books to Sir Isaac Newton and Gottfried Leibnitz at the end of the seventeenth centuries.

The team from the Universities of Manchester and Exeter reveal the Kerala School also discovered what amounted to the Pi series and used it to calculate Pi correct to 9, 10 and later 17 decimal places.

And there is strong circumstantial evidence that the Indians passed on their discoveries to mathematically knowledgeable Jesuit missionaries who visited India during the fifteenth century.

That knowledge, they argue, may have eventually been passed on to Newton himself.

Dr Joseph made the revelations while trawling through obscure Indian papers for a yet to be published third edition of his best selling book 'The Crest of the Peacock: the Non-European Roots of Mathematics' by Princeton University Press.

He said: "The beginnings of modern maths is usually seen as a European achievement but the discoveries in medieval India between the fourteenth and sixteenth centuries have been ignored or forgotten.

"The brilliance of Newton's work at the end of the seventeenth century stands undiminished -- especially when it came to the algorithms of calculus.

"But other names from the Kerala School, notably Madhava and Nilakantha, should stand shoulder to shoulder with him as they discovered the other great component of calculus- infinite series.

"There were many reasons why the contribution of the Kerala school has not been acknowledged - a prime reason is neglect of scientific ideas emanating from the Non-European world - a legacy of European colonialism and beyond.

"But there is also little knowledge of the medieval form of the local language of Kerala, Malayalam, in which some of most seminal texts, such as the Yuktibhasa, from much of the documentation of this remarkable mathematics is written.

He added: "For some unfathomable reasons, the standard of evidence required to claim transmission of knowledge from East to West is greater than the standard of evidence required to knowledge from West to East.

"Certainly it's hard to imagine that the West would abandon a 500-year-old tradition of importing knowledge and books from India and the Islamic world.

"But we've found evidence which goes far beyond that: for example, there was plenty of opportunity to collect the information as European Jesuits were present in the area at that time.

"They were learned with a strong background in maths and were well versed in the local languages.

"And there was strong motivation: Pope Gregory XIII set up a committee to look into modernising the Julian calendar.

"On the committee was the German Jesuit astronomer/mathematician Clavius who repeatedly requested information on how people constructed calendars in other parts of the world. The Kerala School was undoubtedly a leading light in this area.

"Similarly there was a rising need for better navigational methods including keeping accurate time on voyages of exploration and large prizes were offered to mathematicians who specialised in astronomy.

"Again, there were many such requests for information across the world from leading Jesuit researchers in Europe. Kerala mathematicians were hugely skilled in this area."

Monday, August 13, 2007

Der Spiegel on India

SPIEGEL ONLINE

August 09, 2007
POVERTY AND RICHES IN BOOMING INDIA

Tomorrow's World Power Turns 60

By Mathieu von Rohr

It's been 60 years since India won its independence and the country of Mahatma Gandhi is now on track to becoming a global power. But the country's new prosperity remains elusive for many, with millions of farmers still leading lives of abject misery. SPIEGEL visits five very different places to see what India's future holds.

India celebrates 60 years of independence on August 15.
REUTERS

India celebrates 60 years of independence on August 15.

The Republic of India was only four hours old when an untouchable, a girl named Shyama, came into the world in Gurgaon, a village near Delhi. She was born at 4 a.m. on August 15, 1947, in a simple brick house, the third of seven children.

Shyama's mother later told her about the fireworks and the street celebrations that night, and about the historic words of India's first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru: "At the stroke of midnight hour, when the world sleeps, India will awake to life and freedom." But one man, Mahatma Gandhi, the father of the Indian nation, was not celebrating that night -- because millions of people were still starving and because independence also meant partition of the former British India into two countries, India and Pakistan. Instead, Gandhi stayed at home and fasted.


The family that Shyama was born into that night was not among India's poorest. Her father was a low-ranking civil servant. But they were pariahs, members of the Jatav subcaste. Their ancestors had been leather workers, which made them unclean, placing them at society's lowest rung. Not even their shadows were permitted to touch a Brahmin.

An untouchable, a man named Dr. Bhimrao Ramji Ambedkar, had written much of the new country's constitution. It was designed to create a country in which all citizens would have equal opportunities. "If things go wrong under the new constitution, the reason will not be that we had a bad constitution ," said Ambedkar, "What we will have to say is that man was vile."

Over the course of the country's history since independence, it periodically seemed that things would indeed go wrong. But now that the Republic of India is turning 60 on Aug. 15, the world no longer mentions the country in the same breath as tales of poverty and hopelessness. Today's stories about India are tales of success.

The legacy of the 1947 partition can still be felt in India, especially in disputed Kashmir.

The legacy of the 1947 partition can still be felt in India, especially in disputed Kashmir.

Shyama was a good student, one of six girls to attend the local college in Gurgaon. She loved to dance and wanted to become a film star. But the other students shunned her. Their families were from the affluent Jat caste of farmers, and they routinely disparaged her as an untouchable and called her even worse names, which she later did her best to forget. Shyama swore to herself that she would be a great success in life. When she was 16 she assumed a new last name so that people could longer tell what her caste was. Because she was born on the same day as India, she called herself Shyama Bharti -- Shyama, the Indian. "I abandoned my name to abandon my caste," she says.

Like the country, Shyama is now almost 60, but she looks younger. She sits in her office in downtown Delhi, wearing a pink sari. She has large, dark eyes and a narrow nose with wide nostrils that makes her look almost aristocratic. She wears her dyed black hair piled up on her head in a hairstyle similar to the one favored by her idol, Indira Gandhi, India's third prime minister.

As a general director of Delhi Transco Limited, the city's electric utility, Bharti is at the highest level she can be promoted to in her career as a civil servant. She has four telephones on her desk, and her business card reveals that she has four university degrees. "As far as education goes, I'm a Brahmin," she says, laughing.

She earns 42,000 rupees, or €760, a month. Her husband receives a government pension. The couple is provided with a driver and a car, a company mobile phone and a large house with servants. The Indian state treats its civil servants well.

Shyama Bharti managed to complete her ascent into the upper middle class long before today's new generation of social climbers, who make their money as call center agents and IT specialists, came on the scene. About 200 million of India's 1.1 billion people are already part of the middle class today, a number that is expected to increase to about 600 million by 2025 -- figures that are enough to make investors delirious.

Shyama Bharati, seen here in her Delhi office, was born on the day India got its independence.

Shyama Bharati, seen here in her Delhi office, was born on the day India got its independence.

The West has long realized that India is on its way to becoming a global power. The giant country is expected to be the world's third-largest economy within the next three decades. India and the United States signed a joint nuclear treaty only two weeks ago. India has been de facto accepted as a nuclear power, and its next goal is a permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council. The country's elites are literally bursting with self-confidence.

Indians who read newspapers can marvel at the daily stories of progress in their country, and of its rise to prominence. India launches an Israeli spy satellite into space. Indian automakers plan to acquire Jaguar. Free wireless Internet in all of Bangalore. Domestic flights doubled in the space of two years. Bank accounts opened for each and every resident of the state of Himachal Pradesh.

At the same time, India's infrastructure remains a problem. Its roads, buses and airports are in a woeful state of disrepair, and power outages are common.

A trip through India is a lesson in glaring contrasts. India is a land of the future, and yet parts of it are still a long way from the present. It is a country of the fabulously rich and the desperately poor, of Hindus and Muslims, wooden plows and nuclear power plants.

Shyama Bharti will go into retirement on Aug. 15, her 60th birthday. She and her husband will move to her old village, Gurgaon, which has since been engulfed by Delhi's southwestern suburbs. The land the couple bought there 20 years ago is worth at least 100 times what it cost them to buy.

SPIEGEL traveled to five different parts of India to get a glimpse of the country's future.

Part 2: A Land of Contrasts

GURGAON: 'It Will Be Singapore in Five Years'

Mahatma Gandhi (r), who led India to independence, laughs with the man who was to become the nation's first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, at the All-India Congress committee meeting in Bombay in July 1946.

Mahatma Gandhi (r), who led India to independence, laughs with the man who was to become the nation's first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, at the All-India Congress committee meeting in Bombay in July 1946.

Ashish Gupta sits in a glass booth on the second floor of a salmon-colored, semi-circular office tower in Sector 39 of Gurgaon, and says: "It will be Singapore out there in five years." Today there are still meadows out there, and cows still routinely stroll across the street, holding up traffic. But Gupta is quite serious.

The India of the future is emerging in Gurgaon. Where there was once nothing but brush, now glass and concrete towers are being built to house the offices of Western conglomerates like Siemens, Alcatel and Microsoft. The construction workers live in tents between the buildings. An eight-lane highway cuts through what is still a no man's land, with constant traffic jams lining up in front of half a dozen new shopping malls. A subway is being built to downtown Delhi.

Gupta wears black trousers, a blue shirt and a tie. He attended college in the United States and once worked for corporate consulting giant McKinsey. He is the Chief Operating Officer of a company called Evalueserve. His job is stressful and he is sweating profusely, despite the air-conditioning in his office. The company has 2,100 employees and has only been in business for the past six and a half years. It grew by 100 percent each year in the first four years, and another 75 percent in the interim. Evalueserve is in the process of expanding into China, Chile and Eastern Europe. Gupta's sentences are sober enough, and yet he sounds almost intoxicated: "The question is not how big we want to become, but how big we can become. Theoretically, there is no limit."

Evalueserve is a showpiece company in the new India. While China is growing through low-cost industrial products, India in growing through cheap services: call centers to serve customers in Ohio, IT specialists handling the programming for European clients and market research companies such as Evalueserve that perform tasks like analyzing the shampoo sales of their clients' competitors.

According to Gupta, there is absolutely no doubt that India is becoming a global power. "We need another 20 years, but they'll fly by."

The Indian economic miracle began in 1991, when Ashish Gupta was still a student. Manmohan Singh, the finance minister at the time and India's prime minister today, jettisoned the "democratic socialism" of the country's founding fathers. Until he came into office, large sectors of Indian industry were still state-owned. Singh began privatizing companies and liberalizing markets. The IT industry has been booming since the late 1990s, and the economy as a whole has grown by an average of 8 percent a year in the last five years.

At Evalueserve more than 100 people, most of them under 30, work in a single room, sitting at long rows of yellow desks and staring at computer screens. One of them is Senior Analyst Andrea Demsic, a 30-year-old blonde with cherubic cheeks and a contented smile, who works in the company's Business Research department. She comes from the southwestern German town of Schwäbisch-Gmünd and speaks the Swabian dialect. After earning a degree in economics from the University of Jena in eastern Germany, she says, it was relatively difficult to find a job in Germany. One day she saw a job posting at her local employment office: Seeking analyst for overseas position. She applied for the position and, a year and a half ago, ended up in Gurgaon.

Demsic's starting salary was 21,000 rupees, or about €380, plus a free apartment. She was promoted after the first year. She says that she could imagine staying in India for a while longer.

She is impressed by the ambition of her Indian coworkers, and by the city being built around her. "There is movement here. Everyone wants to achieve something. There are opportunities to climb up the corporate ladder in India. It's so different from Germany."

Thirty-six foreigners work at Evalueserve, and their numbers are also increasing in other Indian companies. Ashish Gupta, the COO, smiles. He needs people who know Europe and speak its languages perfectly, because his customers come from Europe. But he is also happy with the message he is sending to the world: Instead of hiring exclusively Indians to work for the West, Indian companies are now also creating jobs for Western workers.

VIDARBHA: 'They Build Cities and Neglect the Villages'

Villagers pay their last respects to the dead farmer Punjaram Kubde at his funeral outside his home village of Chondha.


Villagers pay their last respects to the dead farmer Punjaram Kubde at his funeral outside his home village of Chondha.

His wife and two sons were sound asleep when Punjaram Kubde, a farmer, got up in the night and went into the next room, where he kept sacks of seed, fertilizer and poison. He poured himself a cup of pesticide and drank it. His wife found him dead on the stone floor the next morning.

Now his body lies underneath a pile of wood that the men and women of Chondha have assembled on a green hill in front of the village. They have painted his face purple, brought him flowers, rice and coins for his journey into the next world, and wrapped his body in a white sheet.

About 200 people have come to attend his cremation. Their faces are serious. Kubde's is the first case of a farmer taking his life in their village. Some say that if it doesn't rain soon his suicide will not have been the last.

Chondha is in Vidarbha, in the middle of India and one of the country's poorest regions. This year alone, 521 farmers have already killed themselves in Vidarbha. Last year there were more than 1,200 suicides. Almost all of the men used pesticides, while a few set themselves on fire.

The wife of the dead farmer sobs quietly, her body trembling. Her name is Lalita and she is wearing the orange sari she reserves for special occasions. She is only 30, young and beautiful, but she will remain a widow for the rest of her life. Village rules forbid widows from remarrying. Sagar, the couple's eldest son, is 10. A man helps him hold a burning bundle of straw, which he must use to ignite the funeral pyre. Then the men and women of Chondha walk around the fire, throwing in sticks.

Punjaram Kubde was an important man. He owned 12 hectares (30 acres) of land, a large house and a motorcycle. He was 45, a powerful man with a mustache and, like most men here, he was a cotton farmer. He grew a strain known as "Bt cotton," developed by US agricultural chemicals giant Monsanto. According to the farmers in the village, conventional seeds are unavailable these days. No one knows why, but the dealers no longer sell it. Monsanto's genetically modified seed is expensive and a new supply has to be purchased every year. The seed makes up half of the farmers' production costs. Even worse, if Bt cotton gets too much or too little water, it reacts far more sensitively than normal cotton.

When last year's heavy rains ruined his harvest, Kubde was unable to repay his bank loans, and the banks refused to lend him more money. He went to private moneylenders, who lent him the money he needed for new seed, but this year brought more heavy rains and Kubde lost his crop once again. In the end he owed half a million rupees and no one was willing to lend him any more money.

Unable to liberate himself from his mountain of debt, he would have been forced to become an indentured servant to his creditors. He chose an easier way out.

The man who counts the region's dead is named Kishor Tiwari. A former engineer, Tiwari founded his own NGO in the small city of Pandharkawada, where he now has his office. He spends his days sending out e-mails filled with accusations and numbers. More than 6,000 farmers have already committed suicide in Vidarbha, he writes, and more than 2 million farmers are in debt. Tiwari reports the news from an India that has nothing to do with the country analysts are touting these days.

About two-thirds of Indians today are still farmers, a number that puts many things in perspective. They live in villages that consist of a handful of tiny mud huts, each containing a sleeping room, a second room for the kitchen and an outdoor latrine. The muddy paths between the huts are littered with cow dung.

More than 300 million Indians live in poverty and 400 million are illiterate. In many parts of India, dependent feudal relationships still exist, women and untouchables are oppressed, there are honor killings and the practice of setting widows on fire is still not entirely abolished.

Kishor Tiwari is a cantankerous man wearing polished shoes, black trousers and a white shirt. He has himself driven through the area in a car with a sign in the front window that reads: "God has sent this man to the poor."

He sits in the back of his car as it bumps across a street filled with potholes, blaming the liberalization of the agricultural market for the farmers' troubles. First, he says, the government almost stopped buying up cotton altogether, and then it permitted the importation of cotton and genetically modified seed. The end result was a plunge in the price of cotton.

He talks about Mahatma Gandhi, who founded his village commune Sevagram Ashram in 1936, not far from here. Tiwari says that Gandhi's successors have betrayed him. "They build cities and neglect the villages. For Gandhi the village, which is self-sufficient, was the pillar on which this country stands. Instead we now have the enslaved village."

According to Tiwari, the same liberalization that is driving India's growth is breaking the farmers' backs.

Part 3: The Scars of Partition

MUMBAI: 'Within Half an Hour I Would Have Enough Muslims Here Ready to Fight'

Over-crowded trains are a common sight in India.
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AP

Over-crowded trains are a common sight in India.

The city of Mumbai, formerly known as Bombay, is home to some of the poorest of India's poor. More than half of its residents live in poor neighborhoods like Dharavi, Asia's second-largest slum, which investors have targeted to be converted into a modern residential development.

Mumbai is also home to India's wealthiest citizens. Most of the country's billionaires live here, such as the Ambani brothers, whose father, a former merchant, worked his way up the ladder to earn his billions. Another is Anand Mahindra, who dreams of dominating Europe with the SUVs his company makes.

Mumbai is also Bollywood. The city's film industry produces hundreds of movies each year, productions full of saccharine music and starring actors who are paid millions.

The careers of most Bollywood stars are short-lived, with only a handful becoming legends. The most unforgettable star of them all lives in a villa in the Cumballa Hill neighborhood in Bombay's Midtown district: Dilip Kumar, the first and probably greatest star Indian cinema has ever had.

He stands in the foyer of his villa, dressed entirely in white, holding up a palette and a paintbrush. Surrounded by a dozen photographers and jostling cameraman, Kuman remains unperturbed. Saira Banu, his wife, stands next to him and Jatin Das, a well-known artist. The trio is producing a charity painting for Bombay's street children.

Dilip Kumar is 84. Born in Peshawar in what is now Pakistan, he comes from a Pashtun family of 12 children. His real name is Mohammed Yusuf Khan, but it sounded too Muslim for him to become a star. He has trouble remembering the old days. When asked about 1947, the year of independence and partition, the first thing he remembers is playing football with the British. Then he recalls images of horror and death and the massacres that followed independence, and his three cousins who were killed in the unrest. The old man's eyes fill with tears. Then he says: "It was very eventful."

Partition brought horrific massacres. Already in 1946, the year before partition, militant Hindus, Muslims and Sikhs were fighting each other, and when the British announced the borders for the future countries of India and Pakistan, 10 million refugees left their homes, attempting to reach the right side. Many never made it. A Muslim mob butchered a train filled with refugees in the Punjab, Hindus destroyed hundreds of mosques and Sikhs murdered Muslims with axes. Millions died. India and Pakistan were born out of a bloodbath.

Dilip Kumar has spent much of his life campaigning for reconciliation between the two countries and has even been decorated for his efforts. But now, in his old age, it is all coming back to him. He says: "If it ever happened again, within half an hour I would have enough Muslims here who would be ready to fight."

Kumar sits in his armchair like some emperor in the waning days of his life, a glittering dome above his head. A painting on the opposite wall depicts him in his role as Bollywood's great romantic star, posing with his hand outstretched. The old man stares into space and says that he misses Peshawar and occasionally goes to the mosque.

KASHMIR: 'I Am Afraid of Everything'

The wound of partition has never properly healed in India. Here, in Kashmir, it is still wide open.

Dal Lake sparkles in the sunlight against a backdrop of the green slopes of the Pir Pinjal Mountains. Srinagar, the capital of Kashmir, is a magnificent place -- but is also one of the world's most dangerous.

Two nuclear powers, India and Pakistan, are confronting each other up here, both laying claim to predominantly Muslim Kashmir. China also occupies part of the region. Kashmir is probably the world's most heavily militarized zone. There are 500,000 troops stationed on the Indian side, along with paramilitary forces, police and intelligence agents.

And all this is just because the Maharaja of Jammu and Kashmir, flirting with independence, hesitated to choose a side in the year of partition. Pakistan sent guerilla troops, the Maharaja called for help from India, and a cease-fire line has separated the armies of the two countries ever since.

Despite frictions, Kashmir was long a dream destination for tourists, until a guerilla war of independence, supported by Pakistan, erupted in 1990. Today the region is a war zone, devastated and lacking an economy or infrastructure. But things have quieted down in recent years, as the militants have scaled back their attacks. Is there reason for hope in Kashmir?

The Mirwaiz of Kashmir, Omar Farooq, is the religious leader of Kashmir's Muslims and one of the province's best-known politicians. He lives in a dusty pink house in downtown Srinagar, where a dozen bearded men with guns sit in the entranceway. Farooq, who is only 34, wears a beard and designer glasses, and is currently doing a PhD on Sufism at the University of Srinagar.

What is he afraid of? Farooq's answer can be summed up in one word: Everything. On the one hand, there are the militant groups that murdered his father 17 years ago, so that he was only a teenager when he became his successor. On the other hand, there are the Indians, who also cannot be trusted.

Farooq is a young, intelligent man, but he has already internalized this conflict so much that it seems as if he has been dealing with it for the past 60 years. He is considered a moderate, one of those who want to negotiate with the Indian government. The Indian prime minister recently proposed that the line of control be turned into a "line of peace" between the two countries. There is a proposition for some kind of joint administration of Kashmir by India and Pakistan.

The Mirwaiz is in favor of these efforts, but he is frustrated because there is, in fact, little progress. He believes that it is high time that Delhi do something to back up its declared intentions. Indian newspapers write that Kashmir is faring better than ever, and that its economy is booming. The Mirwaiz smiles sadly. Kashmir is a place that makes people melancholy.

DELHI: 'We Aren't the Only Ones Doing Well'

Former Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi, seen here with her daughter-in-law Sonia, is Shyama Bharti's idol.

Former Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi, seen here with her daughter-in-law Sonia, is Shyama Bharti's idol.
Shyama Bharti, who was born on Aug. 15, 1947, is sometimes astonished over how much her country has changed. "When I was a little girl India was dominated by the rural population, and the farmers couldn't read and were superstitious," she says, "but now even their standard of living is rising. People are educated and they know their rights and duties."

In those days, says Bharti, her family's house was furnished with only one bed, three blankets, a few chairs and a transistor radio. "Nowadays we have air-conditioning everywhere and everything is fully furnished, and we aren't the only ones who are doing well." Every morning and every evening, Bharti goes to the small altar room behind her kitchen to give thanks to Ganesha, the elephant god.

On weekends Bharti visits her poor relatives, where she is treated like a guest of honor. She tells them that women should fight for their rights and their careers. Sometimes she gives them money. She is thinking about going into politics after she retires. She says that the country gave her a lot, and that it's now her turn to give something back.


She is immensely proud of her sons. The older one has also chosen a career in the civil service, and was accepted into the prestigious Indian Administrative Service, which accepts no more than 300 applicants each year. When his appointment was announced in the newspaper, Bharti and her husband were inundated -- to her delight -- with offers of brides for him. But what about love? "Indians aren't fond of love marriages," says Bharti, "They prefer arranged marriages. It's safer." Her marriage was also arranged.

India's traditions are not disappearing with its economic boom. Indeed, newspapers are reporting a new trend: Middle class families going into financial ruin to come up with dowries for their daughters.

Did the family of her son's bride pay her a dowry? "We did not take one," she says. "Only greedy people do that."

Bharti and her husband selected a pretty girl for their son. She is a senior civil servant, an intelligent woman.

Is she from the same caste? "Of course!" says Shyama Bharti.

Translated from the German by Christopher Sultan

Fossils in Kenya Challenge Linear Evolution

The field site near Ileret, east of Lake Turkana, Kenya, where the Homo erectus skull was found.

Two fossils found in Kenya have shaken the human family tree, possibly rearranging major branches thought to be in a straight ancestral line to Homo sapiens.


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National Museums of Kenya/F. Spoor

Scientists who dated and analyzed the specimens — a 1.44-million-year-old Homo habilis and a 1.55-million-year-old Homo erectus found in 2000 — said their findings challenged the conventional view that these species evolved one after the other. Instead, they apparently lived side by side in eastern Africa for almost half a million years.

If this interpretation is correct, the early evolution of the genus Homo is left even more shrouded in mystery than before. It means that both habilis and erectus must have originated from a common ancestor between two million and three million years ago, a time when fossil hunters had drawn a virtual blank.

Although the findings do not change the relationship of Homo erectus as a direct ancestor of Homo sapiens, scientists said, the surprisingly diminutive erectus skull implies that this species was not as humanlike as once thought.

Other paleontologists and experts in human evolution said the discovery strongly suggested that the early transition from more apelike to more humanlike ancestors was still poorly understood.

The challenge to the idea of a more linear succession of the three Homo species is being reported today in the journal Nature. The lead author is Fred Spoor, an evolutionary anatomist at University College London. Other authors include Meave G. Leakey and her daughter Louise Leakey, the Kenyan paleontologists who are co-directors of the Koobi Fora Research Project that made the discovery. The field work was supported by the National Geographic Society.

The fossils were found east of Lake Turkana in Kenya. It took years to prepare the specimens for study and to be sure of the identification of the species, the scientists said. University of Utah geologists determined the dates of the fossils from volcanic ash deposits.

The most recent fossils of the habilis species known before now were 1.65 million years old or older. Some fragments of fossils with apparent habilis attributes have been dated as early as 2.33 million years old.

In recent years, scientists not involved in the project said, discoveries were hinting at possible overlap between habilis and erectus. But the implications were considered so profound that little was said about these dates, pending more conclusive evidence.

The most recent Homo habilis that had been known was about the same age as the earliest Homo erectus, said Daniel Lieberman, a professor of biological anthropology at Harvard University. “Now we have extended the duration of the habilis species, and there’s no doubt that it overlaps considerably with erectus.”

In their report, Dr. Spoor and his colleagues wrote, “With the discovery of the new, well dated specimens, H. habilis and H. erectus can now be shown to have co-occurred in eastern Africa for nearly half a million years.” The fact that the two hominid species lived together in the same lake basin for so long and remained separate species, Meave Leakey said in a statement from Nairobi, “suggests that they had their own ecological niche, thus avoiding direct competition.”

In any case, Dr. Leakey said, “Their coexistence makes it unlikely that Homo erectus evolved from Homo habilis.”

Dr. Spoor, speaking by satellite phone from a field site near Lake Turkana, said the evidence clearly contradicted previous ideas of human evolution “as one strong, single line from early to us.” The new findings, he added, support the revised interpretations of “a lot of bushiness and experimentation in the fossil record.”

But Dr. Spoor said the second fossil, the 1.55-million-year-old erectus skull, was probably the more surprising discovery. “What is truly striking about this fossil is its size,” he said. “It is the smallest Homo erectus found thus far anywhere in the world.”

The scientists reported that the individual was a young adult or “a late subadult.” Its size was closer to that of a habilis than previously known erectus fossils. But the distinctive ridge on the cranium, the jaw and teeth and the shape of the neck are all characteristic of erectus.

From the skull’s small size, the scientists concluded that Homo erectus was, in one important respect, less humanlike than had been previously assumed. Other erectus skull and skeletal fossils had seemed to show erectus to be the first human ancestor that was like us in so many ways, except for a smaller brain.

Susan Anton, an anthropologist at New York University and one of the report’s authors, said the small skull pointed up a significant variation in the sizes of erectus specimens, particularly differences between the male and female of the species, or sexual dimorphism. In humans, males are on average about 15 percent larger than females, and the same is true for chimpanzees. Sexual dimorphism is much more striking in gorillas, and apparently also in erectus.

“The new Kenyan fossil suggests that contrary to common belief, this may have been true of Homo erectus,” Dr. Anton said, implying that erectus was not as humanlike as once thought.

Dr. Lieberman of Harvard said, “The small skull has got to be a female, and my guess is that all the previous erectus we have found turned out to be male.”

The new findings, Dr. Lieberman said, highlight the need for obtaining more fossils that are more than two million years old. In addition, he said, they show “just how interesting and complex the human genus was and how poorly we understand the transition from being something much more apelike to something more humanlike.”

Perpetually flooded Bihar (India) village: BARABIH


Experts blame the plight of villages like Barabih on the haphazard construction of anti-flood embankments in Bihar, which has a reputation as one of India's most lawless, corrupt and impoverished states. In 1952, Bihar had 160 kilometres of embankments and the flood-prone area was 2.5 million hectares, said development expert Eklavya Prasad. "But by 2002 the state developed 3,430 kilometres of these structures and the flood-prone area extended up to 6.88 million hectares," Prasad told The Hindustan Times. Photo courtesy AFP.

Thousands of villages in India's Bihar state have been flooded for the last two weeks, but one hamlet has been under at least a foot of water for the last 12 years. Since 1995, Barabih residents have either got used to living with floods, or left. In fact about 75 percent of the population has fled, leaving behind 1,400 hardy souls.

The heaviest monsoon rains in some 30 years have made life unbearable, even if some locals admit they are used to surviving with water everywhere.

The inhabitants blame the perma-flood on an embankment built by other village clusters nearby to ward off the annual inundations that plague Bihar.